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Setups

Bullish and bearish scenarios from each security's preferred daily wave count: the reference level, where the count is invalidated, and the structural target. Each is checked for sane levels before it is shown.

Track record
BullishBearishActive nowWaiting for a pullbackWith the weekly countNo negative recordsWave 3 under way2 : 1 or better
Reset
220 setups69 held back by level checks
TickerCompanySetupCloseReferenceInvalidationStructural targetR : RHistoryRiskConf.Weekly$ volume (20d)
MBWMMercantile Bank CorporationBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate58.6158.6162.9547.382.6Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R7.4%70Against$6.2M
AAPXT-Rex 2X Long Apple Daily Target ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate42.2442.2444.0030.586.6
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NoteResearch scenario generated from Viridia's structural model. Not a recommendation.ChecksA scenario is shown only if its reference level is within 30% of price, its invalidation within 25% and 8 ATR, its target within 100% and 25 ATR, reward/risk reconciles and sits between 1 and 10, the analysis is current, and the history shows no recent split-like jump.MethodA setup restates the preferred count as a trade: the entry (the close, or the level where the correction in progress most often ends), the stop where the count is wrong (a rule level, or the end of a finished pattern), and the count's own Fibonacci target. Reward:risk is measured from the middle of the entry range. A setup needs reward:risk of at least 1 : 1. It is research output from the wave count, not a recommendation or a forecast.Track recordEach setup kind and side is graded from its replayed trials, split at the median trial date so the two halves test each other out of sample. Positive: average at least +0.05R overall and above zero in both halves. Negative: at most −0.05R overall and below zero in both halves. Mixed: anything else. Little history: under 100 resolved cases or under 40 in either half. The replay covers a year in which U.S. stocks mostly rose, which favors bullish setups. The default order ranks by the kind's replayed average result, then Pattern Confidence.DegreeEach security's setup comes from its preferred count at intermediate degree (primary, then minor, when intermediate has none).
Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R
4.2%
70
Against
$1.6M
AAPBGraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate45.9845.9847.6332.917.9Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R3.6%70Against$1.2M
BITOProShares Bitcoin ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate10.8810.8811.689.781.4Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R7.3%67Against$813.0M
MAGSRoundhill Magnificent Seven ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate71.2871.2874.7863.482.2Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R4.9%67Against$326.8M
GDDYGoDaddy Inc. Class ABearishCorrection complete· Intermediate105.96105.96110.3586.404.5Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R4.1%67Against$233.2M
MGKVanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate90.0090.0095.5379.951.8Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R6.1%67Against$132.2M
FNDESchwab Fundamental Emerging Markets Equity ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate42.4442.4443.1841.111.8Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R1.8%67Against$88.6M
BITBBitwise Bitcoin ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate44.2044.2047.3138.971.7Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R7.0%67Against$36.9M
HRMYHarmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate37.9537.9543.4932.381.0Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R14.6%67Against$33.4M
BFLXiShares Flexible Equity Active ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate25.7225.7226.6224.771.1Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R3.5%67With$11.4M
DFINDonnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate51.8151.8153.5637.078.4Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R3.4%67Against$10.4M
LKFTLakefront BiotherapeuticsBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate29.9029.9032.4126.421.4Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R8.4%67Against$9.3M
QQQInvesco QQQ Trust, Series 1BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate709.80709.80762.86634.771.4Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R7.5%60Against$26.62B
XLKState Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate183.47183.47203.25155.931.4Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R10.8%60Against$1.61B
EFAiShares MSCI EAFE ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate103.55103.55108.8986.183.3Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R5.2%60Against$1.55B
IEFAiShares Core MSCI EAFE ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate96.5396.53101.4480.133.3Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R5.1%60Against$1.02B
QQQMInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate292.26292.26314.12222.413.2Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R7.5%60Against$863.4M
DDOGDatadog, Inc. Class ABearishCorrection complete· Intermediate247.11247.11300.68175.431.3Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R21.7%60Against$781.8M
NEMNewmont CorporationBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate118.60118.60135.2981.512.2Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R14.1%60Against$616.9M
VGTVanguard Information Tech ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate118.83118.83130.6684.752.9Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R10.0%60Against$615.4M
TGTTarget CorporationBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate154.26154.26170.75116.792.3Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R10.7%60Against$590.5M
VUGVanguard Morningstar Growth ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate87.9387.9393.0078.561.9Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R5.8%60Against$519.0M
QLDProShares Ultra QQQBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate87.7287.72101.6273.791.0Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R15.8%60Against$378.6M
UNGUnited States Natural Gas Fund LPBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate10.6610.6611.679.551.1Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R9.5%60With$362.7M
IDEViShares Core MSCI International Developed Markets ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate89.4789.4793.8680.931.9Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R4.9%60Against$213.6M
CPAYCorpay, Inc.BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate399.84399.84427.46319.542.9Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R6.9%60Against$212.5M
IYWiShares U.S. Technology ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate251.24251.24274.44211.471.7Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R9.2%60Against$183.9M
NTNXNutanix, Inc. Class ABearishCorrection complete· Intermediate66.9466.9475.9850.041.9Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R13.5%60Against$179.1M
QTECFirst Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology Sector Index FundBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate301.20301.20342.51257.881.1Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R13.7%60Against$170.1M
AVDEAvantis International Equity ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate90.0790.0794.8272.413.7Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R5.3%60Against$126.5M
AMHAmerican Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial InterestBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate31.2831.2835.0727.221.1Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R12.1%60With$94.6M
FTECFidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate283.46283.46311.83202.002.9Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R10.0%60Against$85.4M
CHEChemed CorpBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate512.38512.38557.00438.471.7Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R8.7%60Against$73.9M
BPOPPopular, Inc.BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate158.89158.89179.24116.812.1Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R12.8%60With$72.8M
AMLPAlerian MLP ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate52.6352.6356.4348.591.1Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R7.2%60Against$69.0M
INSPInspire Medical Systems, Inc.BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate68.7968.7978.8054.151.5Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R14.5%60Against$62.8M
SVIX-1x Short VIX Futures ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate26.9026.9030.3920.341.9Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R13.0%60Against$61.7M
YPFYPF Sociedad Anonima American Depositary SharesBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate52.1052.1057.8742.761.6Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R11.1%60Against$57.0M
FESMFidelity Enhanced Small Cap Core ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate44.2044.2048.9338.291.3Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R10.7%60With$56.5M
ESGDiShares ESG Aware MSCI EAFE ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate102.74102.74108.0085.963.2Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R5.1%60Against$50.8M
RDVIFT Vest Rising Dividend Achievers Target Income ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate28.2228.2230.0924.122.2Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R6.6%60Against$50.4M
EBCEastern Bankshares, Inc.BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate21.3121.3123.7818.281.2Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R11.6%60Against$49.9M
LIVNLivaNova PLCBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate77.5877.5885.7662.931.8Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R10.5%60With$49.7M
FDNFirst Trust DJ Internet Index FundBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate283.90283.90302.79254.391.6Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R6.7%60Against$47.0M
TNKTeekay Tankers Ltd.BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate96.8296.82110.6571.431.8Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R14.3%60Against$46.2M
IXNiShares Global Tech ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate137.37137.37154.04117.621.2Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R12.1%60Against$44.9M
FBCGFidelity Blue Chip Growth ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate60.3560.3565.1745.643.1Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R8.0%60Against$43.7M
JIREJPMorgan International Research Enhanced Equity ETFBearishCorrection complete· Intermediate82.0182.0186.0767.673.5Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R5.0%60Against$40.8M
DJCODaily Journal Corp. (S.C.)BearishCorrection complete· Intermediate602.99602.99692.50479.991.4Negative recordhistory 18% · −0.29R14.8%60Against$32.0M