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Setup track record

What each kind of setup would have done if you had followed it: the engine replayed through history, one session at a time, with no look-ahead.

Current setups

Resolved setups

1,974

2,263 signals in total

Reached target first

12%

of resolved setups

Average result

−0.12R

per setup, in units of risk

Securities replayed

2,389 of 3,991

most-traded first; fills in over the day

Out of sample: does each kind hold up?

Trials split at Feb 24, 2026; a kind earns a grade only when both halves agree

Setup	Grade	Resolved	Avg result	First half	Second half
Bullish · Wave C under way	Positive record	2,346	+0.18R	+0.18R (1,186)	+0.19R (1,160)
Bullish · Wave 4 pullback	Positive record	243	+0.17R	+0.13R (93)	+0.20R (150)
Bullish · Wave 5 under way	Positive record	141	+0.14R	+0.03R (62)	+0.23R (79)
Bullish · Five waves complete	Positive record	457	+0.13R	+0.12R (197)	+0.13R (260)
Bullish · Wave 3 under way	Positive record	593	+0.12R	+0.15R (359)	+0.09R (234)
Bullish · Correction complete	Mixed record	1,608	+0.08R	−0.05R (691)	+0.18R (917)
Bearish · Wave 3 under way	Mixed record	316	−0.11R	+0.00R (173)	−0.23R (143)
Bearish · Five waves complete	Negative record	480	−0.18R	−0.20R (246)	−0.16R (234)
Bearish · Wave C under way	Negative record	1,358	−0.19R	−0.11R (770)	−0.30R (588)
Bearish · Wave 4 pullback	Little history	109	−0.29R	−0.37R (35)	−0.25R (74)
Bearish · Correction complete	Negative record	2,015	−0.29R	−0.22R (946)	−0.34R (1,069)
Bearish · Wave 5 under way	Little history	43	−0.33R	−0.30R (17)	−0.35R (26)

GradesEach setup kind and side is graded from its replayed trials, split at the median trial date so the two halves test each other out of sample. Positive: average at least +0.05R overall and above zero in both halves. Negative: at most −0.05R overall and below zero in both halves. Mixed: anything else. Little history: under 100 resolved cases or under 40 in either half. The replay covers a year in which U.S. stocks mostly rose, which favors bullish setups.Used forThe Setups screen ranks by this record by default and can leave negative kinds out; Mission Control leaves them out.

By setup

Setup	Resolved	Hit rate	Avg result	Stopped	Expired	Median days	Pending
Bearish Correction complete	639	8%	−0.44R	493	95	19	110
Bullish Correction complete	479	18%	+0.13R	310	84	17	37
Bullish Wave C under way	218	14%	+0.24R	61	127	60

MethodEach security's stored daily history is replayed: at every fifth session after the first 250, the engine runs on the bars up to that day only, and the setup it would have shown is followed for up to 60 sessions. The first of stop or target decides it (the stop when one bar touches both); otherwise it expires, marked to the close. Results are in R, multiples of the initial risk. Fills at the close or the entry edge, no costs or slippage, and only securities listed today (survivorship). Past results don't predict future ones.Reading itA hit rate below 50% can still be profitable when winners are larger than losers; the average result shows which. Small samples (under about 30 resolved) are noise.