WS

Worthington Steel, Inc.

NYSE · Common stock

39.68

+0.38 (+0.97%)

Close, Oct 16, 2026

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Structural summary

What is the structure, what changed, and what would invalidate it

Viridia Intelligence

Context across dimensions, not a rating

StructureHigher highs, higher lowsIntermediate-degree swings on the daily chart.

WaveUnresolvedTriangle complete, next move up (Pattern Confidence 71); the weekly count agrees.

FibonacciZone aboveNearest confluence 41.56–42.42 (5 relationships), +5.8% from the close.

MomentumStrong3 months +12.6% (ahead of SPY by 9.7 points); 6 months +15.3%.

RegimeMixed+10.8% vs the 50-day average, +6.2% vs the 200-day.

RiskNormal20-day volatility 51% vs 46% over the year; 1-year drawdown −42.3%; beta 1.62.

WS setup historyNot replayed yet; the track record fills in most-traded securities first.

Current structure

Price, swings and the preferred count on the chart

WS · 1DLoading bars…

SourceMassive, end of dayUpdated—MethodDaily bars, split-adjusted

Candidate interpretations

Every count shown passes every hard rule

Candidate interpretations

Ranked by Pattern Confidence

Counts ending at the latest intermediate swing low, 33.62 on Oct 7, 2026. 44 labelings tested, 28 broke a hard rule, 12+ remain.

Hard-rule evidence: why 28 labelings were eliminated

12Wave 3 always travels beyond the end of wave 1
6Wave 2 always retraces less than 100% of wave 1
3Wave B retraces at least 90% of wave A
3Price after the last labeled point has not crossed a rule-based invalidation level
1Wave 4 does not enter the price territory of wave 1
1Contracting triangle: C ends short of A's end, D short of B's end, and E short of C's end

Method Every chain of 3–6 alternating pivots ending at the latest confirmed pivot is tested as each pattern; only counts with zero hard-rule failures are kept, then ranked by Pattern Confidence. Rules: rulebook.Engine pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.0.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.1.0+setup-1.0.1, bars to Oct 16, 2026

Fibonacci map

Confluence zones above and below the closeClose 39.68

39.68close

Bar length is the zone's strength (a weighted count of relationships, not a probability). Select a zone to see what forms it.

41.56 – 42.42+5.8% from the close

5 relationships · strength 10.8 · Primary, Intermediate, Minor degrees

42.42ProjectionWave C = 100% of wave A · Intermediate · Essentials
42.31RetracementMove after the correction retraces 61.8% of A–C · Primary · Viridia
42.23ProjectionWave E = 61.8% of wave C · Primary · Essentials
42.10ProjectionWave E = 78.6% of wave D · Primary · EWF · secondary ratio
41.56ProjectionWave C = 100% of wave A · Minor · Essentials

Method Targets come from the Fibonacci relationships the sources describe for the wave in progress, Elliott trend channels, the prior fourth wave of lesser degree, and 38.2–78.6% retracements of the latest swing. A zone is where two or more independent relationships fall within max(¼ ATR, 0.4%) of each other; strength counts them, weighting primary ratios and higher degrees. It is not a probability.

Evidence

The setup the preferred count implies, and how that kind of setup has done

Setup

Intermediate degree · from the preferred count

Bullish setupActive now

Correction complete

A correction looks complete, so the larger trend would normally resume.

Pattern Confidence 71 · High

Reference level0.0% from close

39.68

Latest close

Invalidation−15.3% from close

33.62

End of wave E: beyond it the correction is still extending

Structural target+40.0% from close

55.57

Thrust after the triangle ≈ width of wave A

Reward : risk

2.6 : 1

Invalidation 15.3% from the reference level · 2.9 ATR

Track record: this setup reached its target first in 29% of 1,608 past cases, averaging +0.08R. Method

Close call: the alternate count scores within a few points of the preferred one.

NoteResearch scenario generated from Viridia's structural model. Not a recommendation.BasisIntermediate degree, daily bars through Oct 16, 2026. Followed for up to 60 sessions in the track record.MethodA setup restates the preferred count as a trade: the entry (the close, or the level where the correction in progress most often ends), the stop where the count is wrong (a rule level, or the end of a finished pattern), and the count's own Fibonacci target. Reward:risk is measured from the middle of the entry range. A setup needs reward:risk of at least 1 : 1. It is research output from the wave count, not a recommendation or a forecast.

Engine details

Analysis engine: pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.0.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.1.0+setup-1.0.1
Bars analysed to: Oct 16, 2026
Price history: Automatic, updated nightly
Daily bars: 514 since Sep 30, 2024
Avg volume, 50 days: 351.2K
Dollar volume, 20 days: $17.7M
SEC CIK: 0001968487
Provider symbols: nasdaqtrader: WS · massive: WS
Listing changes: None since Sep 24, 2026

SourcePrices: Massive (end of day, split-adjusted). Listings: Nasdaq Trader, SECUpdatedOct 19, 2026, 8:00 AM EDTMethodSecurity master, daily snapshot diff

MethodStructure: the intermediate-degree swing structure (higher highs and lows, lower highs and lows, expanding or contracting). Wave: the preferred daily wave count's expected direction (constructive up, defensive down), unresolved when the alternate is within 5 points. Fibonacci: the nearest confluence zone of Fibonacci relationships and the distance to it (inside, or within 3%, counts as at a zone). Regime: price against its 50- and 200-day averages. Momentum: 3-month return and its lead over SPY (strong when both are positive and the lead is over 5 points; weak when both are negative). Risk: 20-day volatility against the 1-year level (elevated above 1.25×), and the 1-year drawdown and beta to SPY.

Structure at a glance

Daily chart, as of Oct 16, 2026

Since the count's last pivot (33.62, Oct 7, 2026) price has moved +18.0%, the way the count expects.12 of 12 rule-valid counts expect the current move to be up.Weekly count: zigzag wave C ↑, same direction

Close call.The top two counts are within 0 points. Treat the structure as unresolved until one is invalidated.

Preferred count

Triangle down · complete, next move up ↑

A sideways triangle looks complete, so a thrust up would normally follow.

A-B-C-D-E from 49.17, Feb 11, 2026

Pattern Confidence71High

3 of 3 checks met

Key levels, preferred count

Reassess−15.3% from close

33.62

The pattern ended here. A move below it means its last wave is still going, so the pattern isn't complete.

Target, next move+40.0% from close

55.57

Thrust after the triangle ≈ width of wave A

Nearest confluence zone+5.8% from close

41.56–42.42

5 Fibonacci relationships meet here.

Alternate count

Zigzag up · wave C ↑

Price is in wave C of a three-wave zigzag correction up.

A-B from 32.06, Sep 15, 2026

Pattern Confidence71High

3 of 3 checks met

Why this count is preferred · 3 met, 0 not met

Met

In a contracting triangle each leg is roughly 61.8% to 85.4% of the one before
Alternate waves are related by a Fibonacci ratio within 5% (wave 5 to wave 1, C to A, or triangle legs at 61.8%), the more reliable kind of relationship
The count starts at the price extreme of the prior swing (a new trend begins where the old one ended)

Not met

None.

MethodPattern Confidence = (guidelines met + 2) ÷ (guidelines measured + 4), from the rulebook's guidelines, Fibonacci tendencies and wave-personality checks (wave 3 speed and volume, wave 5 volume, alternation in time, a start at the prior extreme), alternate waves in Fibonacci ratio, and the rarity of running flats. The alternate is the best-ranked count that tells a different story. It ranks the rule-valid counts against each other; it is not a probability of any outcome.

What changed

Structural events, most recent first

Oct 15, 2026New leading countNew leading count: Triangle complete ↑ (confidence 71).
Oct 15, 2026Count droppedTriangle wE ↓ is no longer among the leading counts; now Triangle complete ↑.
Oct 15, 2026Daily/weekly alignmentDaily and weekly counts now both point up.
Oct 15, 2026Swing confirmedA new intermediate swing low was confirmed.
Oct 15, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 41.12.
Oct 9, 2026Trend changedTrend moved from downtrend to mixed.
Oct 8, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 33.21.
Oct 7, 2026Trend changedTrend moved from mixed to downtrend.
Oct 7, 2026New leading countNew leading count: Triangle wE ↓ (confidence 71).
Oct 7, 2026Structure changedIntermediate structure changed from contracting to higher highs and lows.
Oct 7, 2026Count droppedTriangle complete ↑ is no longer among the leading counts; now Triangle wE ↓.
Oct 7, 2026Daily/weekly alignmentDaily (down) and weekly (up) counts no longer agree.

Last swing high

40.00

Oct 6, 2026

Last swing low

33.62

Oct 7, 2026

Elliott Wave

Wave counts are built on these swings and each one passes every rule in the rulebook. They are ranked by how many guidelines they satisfy; the preferred and alternate counts are summarized above the chart.

MethodPrice versus its 50- and 200-day averages: above both with the 50 above the 200 is an uptrend, below both with the 50 below the 200 is a downtrend, anything else is mixed. Swings: adaptive ZigZag on daily bars, pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.0.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.1.0+setup-1.0.1.