SOLS

Solstice Advanced Materials Inc.

NASDAQ · Common stock

59.25

−0.67 (−1.12%)

Close, Oct 16, 2026

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Structural summary

What is the structure, what changed, and what would invalidate it

Viridia Intelligence

Context across dimensions, not a rating

StructureContracting rangeIntermediate-degree swings on the daily chart.

WaveConstructiveImpulse complete, next move up (Pattern Confidence 71); the weekly count points the other way.

FibonacciAt a zoneNearest confluence 60.66–61.25 (2 relationships), +2.9% from the close.

MomentumPositive3 months +4.9% (ahead of SPY by 2.1 points); 6 months −27.0%.

RegimeDowntrend−0.4% vs the 50-day average, −15.0% vs the 200-day.

RiskNormal20-day volatility 30% vs 49634285% over the year; 1-year drawdown −37.5%; beta -355813.75.

SOLS setup historyNot replayed yet; the track record fills in most-traded securities first.

Current structure

Price, swings and the preferred count on the chart

SOLS · 1DLoading bars…

SourceMassive, end of dayUpdated—MethodDaily bars, split-adjusted

Candidate interpretations

Every count shown passes every hard rule

Candidate interpretations

Ranked by Pattern Confidence

Counts ending at the latest intermediate swing low, 54.79 on Oct 1, 2026. 38 labelings tested, 24 broke a hard rule, 12+ remain.

Hard-rule evidence: why 24 labelings were eliminated

9Wave 2 always retraces less than 100% of wave 1
9Wave 3 always travels beyond the end of wave 1
2Contracting diagonal: wave 3 is shorter than wave 1, wave 5 shorter than wave 3, and wave 4 shorter than wave 2
2Wave B retraces at least 90% of wave A
2Contracting triangle: C ends short of A's end, D short of B's end, and E short of C's end

Method Every chain of 3–6 alternating pivots ending at the latest confirmed pivot is tested as each pattern; only counts with zero hard-rule failures are kept, then ranked by Pattern Confidence. Rules: rulebook.Engine pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.0.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.1.0+setup-1.0.1, bars to Oct 16, 2026

Fibonacci map

Confluence zones above and below the closeClose 59.25

59.25close

Bar length is the zone's strength (a weighted count of relationships, not a probability). Select a zone to see what forms it.

60.66 – 61.25+2.9% from the close

2 relationships · strength 1.2 · Minor degree

61.25ProjectionWave C = 61.8% of wave A · Minor · Essentials · secondary ratio
60.66ProjectionWave C = 78.6% of wave B · Minor · EWF · secondary ratio

Method Targets come from the Fibonacci relationships the sources describe for the wave in progress, Elliott trend channels, the prior fourth wave of lesser degree, and 38.2–78.6% retracements of the latest swing. A zone is where two or more independent relationships fall within max(¼ ATR, 0.4%) of each other; strength counts them, weighting primary ratios and higher degrees. It is not a probability.

Evidence

The setup the preferred count implies, and how that kind of setup has done

Setup

Intermediate degree · from the preferred count

Bullish setupActive now

Five waves complete

Five waves look complete, so a correction in the other direction would normally follow.

Pattern Confidence 71 · High

Reference level0.0% from close

59.25

Latest close

Invalidation−7.5% from close

54.79

End of wave 5: beyond it wave 5 is still extending

Structural target+13.9% from close

67.50

End of wave 4: corrections tend to end near it

Reward : risk

1.9 : 1

Invalidation 7.5% from the reference level · 2.2 ATR

Track record: this setup reached its target first in 28% of 457 past cases, averaging +0.13R. It made money in both halves of the replay (+0.12R, then +0.13R). Method

Counter-trend trade against the five-wave move just finished.

NoteResearch scenario generated from Viridia's structural model. Not a recommendation.BasisIntermediate degree, daily bars through Oct 16, 2026. Followed for up to 60 sessions in the track record.MethodA setup restates the preferred count as a trade: the entry (the close, or the level where the correction in progress most often ends), the stop where the count is wrong (a rule level, or the end of a finished pattern), and the count's own Fibonacci target. Reward:risk is measured from the middle of the entry range. A setup needs reward:risk of at least 1 : 1. It is research output from the wave count, not a recommendation or a forecast.

Engine details

Analysis engine: pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.0.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.1.0+setup-1.0.1
Bars analysed to: Oct 16, 2026
Price history: Automatic, updated nightly
Daily bars: 244 since Mar 31, 2025
Avg volume, 50 days: 2.44M
Dollar volume, 20 days: $117.6M
SEC CIK: 0002064953
Provider symbols: nasdaqtrader: SOLS · massive: SOLS
Listing changes: None since Sep 24, 2026

SourcePrices: Massive (end of day, split-adjusted). Listings: Nasdaq Trader, SECUpdatedOct 19, 2026, 8:00 AM EDTMethodSecurity master, daily snapshot diff

MethodStructure: the intermediate-degree swing structure (higher highs and lows, lower highs and lows, expanding or contracting). Wave: the preferred daily wave count's expected direction (constructive up, defensive down), unresolved when the alternate is within 5 points. Fibonacci: the nearest confluence zone of Fibonacci relationships and the distance to it (inside, or within 3%, counts as at a zone). Regime: price against its 50- and 200-day averages. Momentum: 3-month return and its lead over SPY (strong when both are positive and the lead is over 5 points; weak when both are negative). Risk: 20-day volatility against the 1-year level (elevated above 1.25×), and the 1-year drawdown and beta to SPY.

Structure at a glance

Daily chart, as of Oct 16, 2026

Since the count's last pivot (54.79, Oct 1, 2026) price has moved +8.2%, the way the count expects.12 of 12 rule-valid counts expect the current move to be up.Weekly count: impulse wave 5 ↓, opposite direction

Preferred count

Impulse down · complete, next move up ↑

A five-wave decline (impulse) looks complete, so a correction up would normally follow.

1-2-3-4-5 from 90.80, May 13, 2026

Pattern Confidence71High

10 of 13 checks met

Key levels, preferred count

Reassess−7.5% from close

54.79

The pattern ended here. A move below it means its last wave is still going, so the pattern isn't complete.

Target, next move+13.9% from close

67.50

Correction ends near the end of wave 4

Nearest confluence zone+2.9% from close

60.66–61.25

2 Fibonacci relationships meet here.

Alternate count

Ending diagonal up · wave 3 ↑

Price is in wave 3 of a five-wave advance (ending diagonal).

1-2 from 53.87, Jul 29, 2026

Pattern Confidence60Medium

1 of 1 checks met

Why this count is preferred · 10 met, 3 not met

Met

Wave 3 measures 161.8% or more of wave 1
Wave 4 retraces 14.6% to 38.2% of wave 3, and no more than 50%
Waves 2 and 4 alternate: one sharp and deep, the other shallow or sideways
One actionary wave (1, 3 or 5) is extended, most often wave 3 in stocks
When wave 3 is extended, waves 1 and 5 tend toward equality
The count starts at the price extreme of the prior swing (a new trend begins where the old one ended)
Wave 3 moves faster (price per bar) than waves 1 and 5
Wave 3 has the heaviest average volume of the actionary waves
Wave 5 comes on lighter average volume than wave 3
Waves 2 and 4 alternate in time too: the shallower correction takes at least as long

Not met

Wave 2 retraces 50% to 85.4% of wave 1
Wave 5 exceeds the end of wave 3 (a failure is called a truncation)
Alternate waves are related by a Fibonacci ratio within 5% (wave 5 to wave 1, C to A, or triangle legs at 61.8%), the more reliable kind of relationship

MethodPattern Confidence = (guidelines met + 2) ÷ (guidelines measured + 4), from the rulebook's guidelines, Fibonacci tendencies and wave-personality checks (wave 3 speed and volume, wave 5 volume, alternation in time, a start at the prior extreme), alternate waves in Fibonacci ratio, and the rarity of running flats. The alternate is the best-ranked count that tells a different story. It ranks the rule-valid counts against each other; it is not a probability of any outcome.

What changed

Structural events, most recent first

Oct 16, 2026Trend changedTrend moved from mixed to downtrend.
Oct 16, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 60.96.
Oct 7, 2026Trend changedTrend moved from downtrend to mixed.
Oct 6, 2026New leading countNew leading count: Impulse complete ↑ (confidence 71).
Oct 6, 2026Structure changedIntermediate structure changed from lower highs and lows to contracting.
Oct 6, 2026Count droppedImpulse w5 ↓ is no longer among the leading counts; now Impulse complete ↑.
Oct 6, 2026Daily/weekly alignmentDaily (up) and weekly (down) counts no longer agree.
Oct 6, 2026Swing confirmedA new intermediate swing low was confirmed.
Oct 6, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 63.
Oct 5, 2026Daily/weekly alignmentDaily and weekly counts now both point down.
Oct 5, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 60.34.
Oct 2, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 58.53.

Last swing high

67.50

Aug 28, 2026

Last swing low

54.79

Oct 1, 2026

Elliott Wave

Wave counts are built on these swings and each one passes every rule in the rulebook. They are ranked by how many guidelines they satisfy; the preferred and alternate counts are summarized above the chart.

MethodPrice versus its 50- and 200-day averages: above both with the 50 above the 200 is an uptrend, below both with the 50 below the 200 is a downtrend, anything else is mixed. Swings: adaptive ZigZag on daily bars, pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.0.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.1.0+setup-1.0.1.