SHOE

Shoe Station Group, Inc.

NASDAQ · Common stock

13.55

+0.03 (+0.22%)

Close, Oct 20, 2026

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Structural summary

What is the structure, what changed, and what would invalidate it

Viridia Intelligence

Context across dimensions, not a rating

StructureLower highs, lower lowsIntermediate-degree swings on the daily chart.

WaveConstructiveZigzag complete, next move up (Pattern Confidence 78); the weekly count agrees.

FibonacciZone belowNearest confluence 13–13.24 (3 relationships), −3.2% from the close.

MomentumWeak3 months −8.0% (behind SPY by 10.9 points).

RegimeNot enough historyNeeds 200 sessions.

RiskNormal20-day volatility 32% vs 44% over the year; 1-year drawdown −29.3%; beta 0.37.

SHOE setup historyNot replayed yet; the track record fills in most-traded securities first.

Current structure

Price, swings and the preferred count on the chart

SHOE · 1DLoading bars…

SourceMassive, end of dayUpdated—MethodDaily bars, split-adjusted

Candidate interpretations

Every count shown passes every hard rule

Candidate interpretations

Ranked by Pattern Confidence

Counts ending at the latest intermediate swing low, 10.20 on Sep 10, 2026. 12 labelings tested, 6 broke a hard rule, 6 remain.

Hard-rule evidence: why 6 labelings were eliminated

3Wave 2 always retraces less than 100% of wave 1
1Wave B retraces at least 90% of wave A
1Price after the last labeled point has not crossed a rule-based invalidation level
1Wave B ends short of the start of wave A (a zigzag is a sharp correction)

Method Every chain of 3–6 alternating pivots ending at the latest confirmed pivot is tested as each pattern; only counts with zero hard-rule failures are kept, then ranked by Pattern Confidence. Rules: rulebook.Engine pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.1.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.2.0+setup-1.0.1 (computed on load), bars to Oct 20, 2026

Fibonacci map

Confluence zones above and below the closeClose 13.55

13.55close

Bar length is the zone's strength (a weighted count of relationships, not a probability). Select a zone to see what forms it.

13.00 – 13.24−3.2% from the close

3 relationships · strength 2.1 · Minor degree

13.24RetracementWave 4 retraces 50% of wave 3 · Minor · EWF · secondary ratio
13.08ProjectionWave 5 = 100% of wave 1 · Minor · Essentials
13.00Swing61.8% retracement of the rise 2026-10-02 → 2026-10-16 · Minor · Basics

Method Targets come from the Fibonacci relationships the sources describe for the wave in progress, Elliott trend channels, the prior fourth wave of lesser degree, and 38.2–78.6% retracements of the latest swing. A zone is where two or more independent relationships fall within max(¼ ATR, 0.4%) of each other; strength counts them, weighting primary ratios and higher degrees. It is not a probability.

Evidence

The setup the preferred count implies, and how that kind of setup has done

Setup

Intermediate degree · from the preferred count

No scenario at intermediate degree right now

The target is closer than the stop (reward:risk 0.39 : 1): most of the count's expected move has already happened, so it isn't a setup. Viridia shows nothing rather than a guess.

Setups at other degrees:

NoteResearch scenario generated from Viridia's structural model. Not a recommendation.MethodA setup restates the preferred count as a trade: the entry (the close, or the level where the correction in progress most often ends), the stop where the count is wrong (a rule level, or the end of a finished pattern), and the count's own Fibonacci target. Reward:risk is measured from the middle of the entry range. A setup needs reward:risk of at least 1 : 1. It is research output from the wave count, not a recommendation or a forecast.

Engine details

Analysis engine: pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.1.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.2.0+setup-1.0.1
Bars analysed to: Oct 20, 2026
Price history: Automatic, updated nightly
Daily bars: 90 since Jun 12, 2026
Avg volume, 50 days: 1.06M
Dollar volume, 20 days: $11.9M
SEC CIK: 0000895447
Provider symbols: nasdaqtrader: SHOE · massive: SHOE
Listing changes: None since Sep 24, 2026

SourcePrices: Massive (end of day, split-adjusted). Listings: Nasdaq Trader, SECUpdatedOct 22, 2026, 8:00 AM EDTMethodSecurity master, daily snapshot diff

MethodStructure: the intermediate-degree swing structure (higher highs and lows, lower highs and lows, expanding or contracting). Wave: the preferred daily wave count's expected direction (constructive up, defensive down), unresolved when the alternate is within 5 points. Fibonacci: the nearest confluence zone of Fibonacci relationships and the distance to it (inside, or within 3%, counts as at a zone). Regime: price against its 50- and 200-day averages. Momentum: 3-month return and its lead over SPY (strong when both are positive and the lead is over 5 points; weak when both are negative). Risk: 20-day volatility against the 1-year level (elevated above 1.25×), and the 1-year drawdown and beta to SPY.

Structure at a glance

Daily chart, as of Oct 20, 2026

Since the count's last pivot (10.20, Sep 10, 2026) price has moved +32.8%, the way the count expects.6 of 6 rule-valid counts expect the current move to be up.Weekly count: zigzag complete ↑, same direction

Preferred count

Zigzag down · complete, next move up ↑

A three-wave zigzag correction down looks complete, so the larger trend would normally resume up.

A-B-C from 17.74, Jun 15, 2026

Pattern Confidence78High

5 of 5 checks met

Key levels, preferred count

Reassess−24.7% from close

10.20

The pattern ended here. A move below it means its last wave is still going, so the pattern isn't complete.

Target, next move+9.7% from close

14.86

Move after the correction retraces 61.8% of A–C

Nearest confluence zone−3.2% from close

13.00–13.24

3 Fibonacci relationships meet here.

Alternate count

Triangle down · wave D ↑

Price is in wave D of a sideways triangle.

A-B-C from 17.74, Jun 15, 2026

Pattern Confidence60Medium

1 of 1 checks met

Why this count is preferred · 5 met, 0 not met

Met

Wave B retraces 38.2% to 85.4% of wave A
Wave B retraces under 90% of wave A (deeper B waves fit a flat better)
Wave C travels beyond the end of wave A (a failure is a truncation)
Wave C equals wave A, or is 61.8%, 123.6% or 161.8% of it
Alternate waves are related by a Fibonacci ratio within 5% (wave 5 to wave 1, C to A, or alternate triangle legs at 61.8%, or 161.8% in expanding triangles), the more reliable kind of relationship

Not met

None.

MethodPattern Confidence = (guidelines met + 2) ÷ (guidelines measured + 4), from the rulebook's guidelines, Fibonacci tendencies and wave-personality checks (wave 3 speed and volume, wave 5 volume, alternation in time, a start at the prior extreme), alternate waves in Fibonacci ratio, and the rarity of running flats. The alternate is the best-ranked count that tells a different story. It ranks the rule-valid counts against each other; it is not a probability of any outcome.

What changed

Structural events, most recent first

Oct 20, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 13.12.
Oct 16, 2026Count droppedImpulse w4 ↑ is no longer among the leading counts; now Zigzag complete ↑.
Oct 16, 2026New leading countTriangle wC ↑ entered the top three counts.
Oct 16, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 14.42.
Oct 15, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 14.22.
Oct 12, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 13.7.
Oct 8, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 13.7.
Sep 30, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 12.37.
Sep 28, 2026New Fib zoneA new Fibonacci confluence zone formed near 13.85.

Last swing high

16.21

Aug 10, 2026

Last swing low

10.20

Sep 10, 2026

Elliott Wave

Wave counts are built on these swings and each one passes every rule in the rulebook. They are ranked by how many guidelines they satisfy; the preferred and alternate counts are summarized above the chart.

MethodPrice versus its 50- and 200-day averages: above both with the 50 above the 200 is an uptrend, below both with the 50 below the 200 is a downtrend, anything else is mixed. Swings: adaptive ZigZag on daily bars, pivots-1.0.0+rules-1.1.0+candidates-1.0.0+fib-1.0.1+rank-1.2.0+setup-1.0.1.