Context across dimensions, not a rating
Counts ending at the latest intermediate swing low, 9.00 on Oct 1, 2026. 32 labelings tested, 21 broke a hard rule, 11 remain.
Bar length is the zone's strength (a weighted count of relationships, not a probability). Select a zone to see what forms it.
2 relationships · strength 3 · Intermediate, Minor degrees
Intermediate degree · from the preferred count
Wave 4 is correcting wave 3. The scenario looks for it to end ahead of wave 5.
Pattern Confidence 67 · Medium
Wave 4 retraces 38.2% of wave 3, inside a confluence zone (2 relationships)
wave 4 cannot enter wave 1 territory (hard rule)
Wave 5 = wave 1, measured from the entry
Invalidation 7.4% from the reference level · 1.6 ATR
Track record: this setup reached its target first in 7% of 109 past cases, averaging −0.29R. Method
Daily chart, as of Oct 16, 2026
Since the count's last pivot (9.00, Oct 1, 2026) price has moved +11.2%, the way the count expects.11 of 11 rule-valid counts expect the current move to be up.Weekly count: zigzag wave C ↓, opposite direction
Close call.The top two counts are within 4 points. Treat the structure as unresolved until one is invalidated.
Price is in wave 4 of a five-wave decline (impulse).
1-2-3 from 15.98, Jul 13, 2026
4 of 5 checks met
Price above this level breaks the count.
Wave 4 retraces 38.2% of wave 3
2 Fibonacci relationships meet here.
A three-wave flat correction down looks complete, so the larger trend would normally resume up.
A-B-C from 15.00, May 13, 2026
3 of 4 checks met
Wave counts are built on these swings and each one passes every rule in the rulebook. They are ranked by how many guidelines they satisfy; the preferred and alternate counts are summarized above the chart.