Context across dimensions, not a rating
Counts ending at the latest intermediate swing high, 64.54 on Aug 13, 2026. 60 labelings tested, 44 broke a hard rule, 12+ remain.
Bar length is the zone's strength (a weighted count of relationships, not a probability). Select a zone to see what forms it.
3 relationships · strength 2.1 · Minor degree
Intermediate degree · from the preferred count
A correction looks complete, so the larger trend would normally resume.
Pattern Confidence 70 · High
Latest close
End of wave C: beyond it the correction is still extending
Move after the correction retraces 61.8% of A–C
Invalidation 4.6% from the reference level · 5.5 ATR
Track record: this setup reached its target first in 18% of 2,015 past cases, averaging −0.29R. It lost money in both halves of the replay (−0.22R, then −0.34R), so treat it with caution. Method
Daily chart, as of Oct 16, 2026
Since the count's last pivot (64.54, Aug 13, 2026) price has moved −4.4%, the way the count expects.12 of 12 rule-valid counts expect the current move to be down.Weekly count: ending diagonal wave 3 ↑, opposite direction
Close call.The top two counts are within 3 points. Treat the structure as unresolved until one is invalidated.
A three-wave zigzag correction up looks complete, so the larger trend would normally resume down.
A-B-C from 42.81, Apr 7, 2025
5 of 6 checks met
The pattern ended here. A move above it means its last wave is still going, so the pattern isn't complete.
Move after the correction retraces 61.8% of A–C
3 Fibonacci relationships meet here.
Price is in wave D of a sideways triangle.
A-B-C from 42.81, Apr 7, 2025
2 of 2 checks met
Wave counts are built on these swings and each one passes every rule in the rulebook. They are ranked by how many guidelines they satisfy; the preferred and alternate counts are summarized above the chart.