Context across dimensions, not a rating
Counts ending at the latest intermediate swing high, 41.97 on Aug 4, 2026. 270 labelings tested, 167 broke a hard rule, 12+ remain.
Bar length is the zone's strength (a weighted count of relationships, not a probability). Select a zone to see what forms it.
3 relationships · strength 2.2 · Minor degree
Intermediate degree · from the preferred count
Wave 4 is correcting wave 3. The scenario looks for it to end ahead of wave 5.
Pattern Confidence 78 · High
Wave 4 retraces 38.2% of wave 3
wave 4 cannot enter wave 1 territory (hard rule)
Wave 5 = wave 1, measured from the entry
Invalidation 10.9% from the reference level · 5.0 ATR
Track record: this setup reached its target first in 29% of 243 past cases, averaging +0.17R. It made money in both halves of the replay (+0.13R, then +0.20R). Method
Daily chart, as of Oct 16, 2026
Since the count's last pivot (41.97, Aug 4, 2026) price has moved −7.5%, the way the count expects.12 of 12 rule-valid counts expect the current move to be down.Weekly count: flat wave C ↑, opposite direction
Price is in wave 4 of a five-wave advance (impulse).
1-2-3 from 23.25, Apr 11, 2025
5 of 5 checks met
Price below this level breaks the count.
Wave 4 near the prior fourth wave of lesser degree (2026-07-23)
3 Fibonacci relationships meet here.
A five-wave advance (ending diagonal) looks complete, so a correction down would normally follow.
1-2-3-4-5 from 23.25, Apr 11, 2025
3 of 3 checks met
None.
Wave counts are built on these swings and each one passes every rule in the rulebook. They are ranked by how many guidelines they satisfy; the preferred and alternate counts are summarized above the chart.