Context across dimensions, not a rating
Counts ending at the latest minor swing low, 17.86 on Oct 8, 2026. 12 labelings tested, 5 broke a hard rule, 7 remain.
Bar length is the zone's strength (a weighted count of relationships, not a probability). Select a zone to see what forms it.
3 relationships · strength 2.2 · Minor degree
Minor degree · from the preferred count
Wave 4 is correcting wave 3. The scenario looks for it to end ahead of wave 5.
Pattern Confidence 75 · High
Wave 4 retraces 38.2% of wave 3
wave 4 cannot enter wave 1 territory (hard rule)
Wave 5 = wave 1, measured from the entry
Invalidation 8.1% from the reference level · 1.1 ATR
Track record: this setup reached its target first in 7% of 109 past cases, averaging −0.29R. Method
Daily chart, as of Oct 16, 2026
Since the count's last pivot (17.86, Oct 8, 2026) price has moved +4.8%, the way the count expects.7 of 7 rule-valid counts expect the current move to be up.
Price is in wave 4 of a five-wave decline (impulse).
1-2-3 from 32.00, Aug 7, 2026
4 of 4 checks met
Price above this level breaks the count.
Wave 4 retraces 38.2% of wave 3
3 Fibonacci relationships meet here.
A three-wave zigzag correction down looks complete, so the larger trend would normally resume up.
A-B-C from 32.00, Aug 7, 2026
4 of 5 checks met
None.
Wave counts are built on these swings and each one passes every rule in the rulebook. They are ranked by how many guidelines they satisfy; the preferred and alternate counts are summarized above the chart.